Yield curve proponents say inversion is bad because it means investors are risk-averse, making recession inevitable. But in Fisher Investments’ view, this doesn’t explain the yield curve’s ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

Jonathan Shapiro writes today that yield curves are steepening around the world, and that could be a sell signal. I’m not ...

Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate We test and estimate a variety of alternative models of the yield curve ... are ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

"My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine, is that longer Treasury yields ...

Financial experts watch government bond markets closely because they help explain investors' attitudes ... and revealing indicator called the yield curve, so it's worth learning how this works ...

An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...

In a recent note, Tipp explained that he expected long-term ... case this cycle might end like many others with an inverted yield curve—who knows? Maybe even with the Fed funds rate at 3.4% ...

(FRED) President Trump's tariff shock that drove a sharp selloff in long-duration Treasurys has pushed a closely followed plot along the yield curve to its highest level in three years, according ...