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The S&P 500 currently has a CAPE ratio of 34.8, an expensive valuation seen just 7.6% of the time since the index was created in 1957. The months in which the CAPE ratio topped 34 were clustered ...
Therefore, to compensate for the potential “duration mismatch” of a faster-moving market environment, I recalculated the CAPE ratio using a 5-year average, as shown in the chart below.
In today's Chart of the Day, Yahoo Finance anchor Madison Mills analyzes Deutsche Bank's latest assessment of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) CAPE ratio — or its Cyclically-Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio ...
In today's Chart of the Day, Yahoo Finance anchor Madison Mills analyzes Deutsche Bank's latest assessment of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) CAPE ratio — or its Cyclically-Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio — ...
Just now the CAPE ratio for America’s stockmarket is higher than it has been for 98% of the time since 1900 (see chart 3).
However, the ratio started to make waves in 2020 around the time the meme-stock craze hit the market. I have recreated Lamont's chart below.
During the 1980s and 1990s, valuations for Canadian and U.S. stocks tracked each other quite closely, based on the CAPE ratio. But more recently, a large gap has opened up, with American equities ...
Starting CAPE Ratio vs. Real 10-Year S&P 500 Annualized Returns (%) For example: When the CAPE 10 was below 9.6, 10-year-forward real returns averaged 9.8%, well above the historical average of 7.4%.
He points out that the CAPE ratio was essentially trendless for most of its history since 1900, so it was reasonable to assume that a high ratio would be followed by compression.