Is a recession coming? A look at yield curve inversion and what it means for the economy. Learn about government bonds and ...

The Fed is a “real wild card” that could help stave off an economic downturn—or push the nation into a recession—regardless of what the yield curve says, warns one pioneering economist.

The yield curve was identified as a recession predictor in the 1980s by Duke University economist Campbell Harvey. Though it can feel confusing and technical, Harvey said, at its heart, the yield ...

Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any ...

Given the somewhat unpredictable time lag between when an inverted yield curve emerges and when a recession begins, the phrase "near future" may not mean much to some investors.The average time ...

It should be noted, however, that this recession indicator has flashed above 70% two other times since the yield curve first became inverted in October 2022, and the U.S. has not gone into a ...

Still, there are plenty of instances when the yield curve uninverted and a recession wasn’t right around the corner. The most recent prior case of the yield curve uninverting was September 2019.

One such tool that is widely under the watch and is most of the time misunderstood is the Treasury Yield Curve. The Treasury yield curve, commonly known as the yield curve, is a powerful chart showing ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Yield curves have long been revered among investors and everyday consumers alike as favourite economic growth and recession ...

HAVE you ever noticed your ability to tune out background noise? So much, you don’t even hear when it stops? Investors do this now with a key global economic indicator: the “yield curve” … which is ...

Still, there are plenty of instances when the yield curve uninverted and a recession wasn’t right around the corner. The most recent prior case of the yield curve uninverting was September 2019.