Stocks are rallying — but is a recession on our doorstep?

Remember when the market was obsessed with the 10-year to 3-month Treasury yield spread as an economic indicator. Nicholas Colas, founder of DataTrek research does. In a note emailed on Wednesday, Col ...

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The chart below overlays the daily performance of several Treasury bonds, starting from the pre-recession equity market peaks ...

The San Francisco Federal Reserve has long pointed out that every U.S. recession over the past 60 years has been preceded by an inverted yield curve. What's more, it said an inverted yield curve ...

Invest in GOVI to access the Treasury yield curve with a 4.45% yield. Ideal for range trading as 10-year yields stay between ...

"My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine, is that longer Treasury yields could continue to get uncomfortably high, even if a recession hits, which ...

Global recession risks have shot back up markets' worry list, but the readout from economic data and key financial indicators ...

High-yield credit spreads dropped from 4.7% to 3.1%, erasing tariff-driven recession bets. Goldman Sachs raised U.S. growth forecast, lowered recession odds after tariff rollback. Don’t miss ...

The advantage of the definition of “recession” cited above is that ... dependable indicators failed to deliver. Inverted yield curve, for instance, has a good historical track record of ...